What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

Doug M. Smith, Adam A. Scaife, Ben P. Kirtman

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

100 Scopus citations

Abstract

Environmental factors, such as the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events, are important drivers of migration and displacement of people. There is therefore a growing need for regional climate predictions for the coming seasons to decades. This paper reviews the current state of the art of seasonal to decadal climate prediction, focusing on the potential sources of skill, forecasting techniques, current capability and future prospects.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number015602
JournalEnvironmental Research Letters
Volume7
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2012

Keywords

  • climate
  • decadal
  • predictability
  • prediction
  • seasonal

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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