Abstract
Environmental factors, such as the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events, are important drivers of migration and displacement of people. There is therefore a growing need for regional climate predictions for the coming seasons to decades. This paper reviews the current state of the art of seasonal to decadal climate prediction, focusing on the potential sources of skill, forecasting techniques, current capability and future prospects.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Article number | 015602 |
| Journal | Environmental Research Letters |
| Volume | 7 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Mar 2012 |
Keywords
- climate
- decadal
- predictability
- prediction
- seasonal
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
- Environmental Science(all)
- Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
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Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., & Kirtman, B. P. (2012). What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting? Environmental Research Letters, 7(1), [015602]. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/015602