Spatial Patterns of Larceny and Aggravated Assault in Miami–Dade County, 2007–2015

Ryan J. Bunting, Oliver Yang Chang, Christopher Cowen, Richard Hankins, Staci Langston, Alexander Warner, Xiaxia Yang, Eric R. Louderback, Shouraseni Sen Roy

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

18 Scopus citations


The combination of crime mapping and geospatial analysis methods has enabled law enforcement agencies to develop more proactive methods of targeting crime-prone neighborhoods based on spatial patterns, such as hot spots and spatial proximity to specific points of interest. In this article, we investigate the spatial and temporal patterns of the neighborhood crimes of aggravated assault and larceny in 297 census tracts in Miami–Dade County from 2007 to 2015. We use emerging hot spot analysis (EHSA) to identify the spatial patterns of emerging, persistent, continuous, and sporadic hot spots. In addition, we use geographically weighted regression to analyze the spatial clustering effects of sociodemographic variables, poverty rate, median age, and ethnic diversity. The hot spots for larceny are much more diffused than those for aggravated assaults, which exhibit clustering in the north over Liberty City and Miami Gardens and in the south near Homestead, and the ethnic heterogeneity index has a moderate and positive effect on the incidence of both larceny and aggravated assaults. The findings suggest that law enforcement can better target prevention programs for violent versus property crime using geospatial analyses. Additionally, the ethnic concentration of neighborhoods influences crime differently in neighborhoods of different socioeconomic status, and future studies should account for spatial patterns when estimating conventional regression models.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)34-46
Number of pages13
JournalProfessional Geographer
Issue number1
StatePublished - Jan 2 2018


  • aggravated assault
  • crime
  • emerging hot spots analysis
  • geographically weighted regression
  • larceny

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Earth-Surface Processes


Dive into the research topics of 'Spatial Patterns of Larceny and Aggravated Assault in Miami–Dade County, 2007–2015'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this