Simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003) in the WRF, GFDL, and ZETAC models

David S. Nolan, Morris A. Bender, Timothy P. Marchok, Stephen T. Garner, Christopher L. Kerr

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

The analysis of the forecasts of Hurricane Isabel from the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System, the Weather Research and Forecast Model (WRF), and ZETAC model was carried out. The GFDL model had an excellent track forecast, but it could not reproduce the observed category 4 and 5 intensities. The WRF model also predicts the right intensity range, and seems to capture the magnitude and character of Isabel's observed intensity fluctuations. The ZETAC track forecast took nearly 4 days to "spin up" to the observed intensity due to the absence of cumulus parametrization and the 18 km grid spacing.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages304-305
Number of pages2
StatePublished - Jul 15 2004
Event26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorolgy - Miami, FL., United States
Duration: May 3 2004May 7 2004

Other

Other26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorolgy
CountryUnited States
CityMiami, FL.
Period5/3/045/7/04

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Engineering(all)

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    Nolan, D. S., Bender, M. A., Marchok, T. P., Garner, S. T., & Kerr, C. L. (2004). Simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003) in the WRF, GFDL, and ZETAC models. 304-305. Paper presented at 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorolgy, Miami, FL., United States.