Proximity to alcohol-serving establishments and crime probabilities in Savannah, Georgia: A statistical and GIS analysis

Naresh Kumar, Christopher R M Waylor

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Social science literature links alcohol consumption and human violence and/or crime. Most of the literature in this field only addresses sociological and demographic issues. Crimes occurrences, however, are also location dependent and can be analyzed using GIS methods. Only a handful of studies have analyzed spatial dimensions of crime incidences and their controlling factors. In this paper, we present an in-depth analysis of crime probabilities and their proximity to alcohol-serving establishments based on the locations of 12,458 reported crimes and 247 alcohol-serving establishments in Savannah, Georgia, for the year 2000. Logistic regression and other GIS methods are employed to determine crime density and crime probability in different distance zones from alcohol-serving establishments. The results of our analysis confirm that density and probability of all types of crimes declines exponentially with increasing distance from alcohol services. Current research cannot control for myriad of confounding variables for criminal behavior. Although our findings are consistent with research on alcohol consumption as a causal agent in violent criminal activity, our method of estimating crime probability in space is unique. The crime probability maps produced using this method can be valuable for police resource allocation and patrolling in many other cities.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)125-142
Number of pages18
JournalSoutheastern Geographer
Volume43
Issue number1
StatePublished - May 1 2003
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

crime
Geographical Information System
alcohol
GIS
offense
alcohol consumption
analysis
criminality
resource allocation
violence
logistics
police
incidence
social science
regression
method

Keywords

  • Alcohol-serving establishment
  • Crime
  • GIS
  • Probability
  • Savannah

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)
  • Geography, Planning and Development

Cite this

Proximity to alcohol-serving establishments and crime probabilities in Savannah, Georgia : A statistical and GIS analysis. / Kumar, Naresh; Waylor, Christopher R M.

In: Southeastern Geographer, Vol. 43, No. 1, 01.05.2003, p. 125-142.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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