Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population

D. Lamper, S. D. Howison, Neil F Johnson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

44 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A generic multiagent system comprising of a population of agents was considered to analyze the limited-resource problem. The predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population was also studied. Top twenty extreme events were considered to calculate probability integral transform of realized variables with respect to forecast densities. The simulation results suggested that the proposed method efficiently predicted actual direction of change within an evolving population with high probability.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number017902
Pages (from-to)179021-179024
Number of pages4
JournalPhysical Review Letters
Volume88
Issue number1
StatePublished - Jan 7 2002
Externally publishedYes

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Population
integral transformations
forecasting
resources
simulation
Direction compound

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Physics and Astronomy(all)
  • Medicine(all)

Cite this

Lamper, D., Howison, S. D., & Johnson, N. F. (2002). Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. Physical Review Letters, 88(1), 179021-179024. [017902].

Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. / Lamper, D.; Howison, S. D.; Johnson, Neil F.

In: Physical Review Letters, Vol. 88, No. 1, 017902, 07.01.2002, p. 179021-179024.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Lamper, D, Howison, SD & Johnson, NF 2002, 'Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population', Physical Review Letters, vol. 88, no. 1, 017902, pp. 179021-179024.
Lamper D, Howison SD, Johnson NF. Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. Physical Review Letters. 2002 Jan 7;88(1):179021-179024. 017902.
Lamper, D. ; Howison, S. D. ; Johnson, Neil F. / Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. In: Physical Review Letters. 2002 ; Vol. 88, No. 1. pp. 179021-179024.
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