A generic multiagent system comprising of a population of agents was considered to analyze the limited-resource problem. The predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population was also studied. Top twenty extreme events were considered to calculate probability integral transform of realized variables with respect to forecast densities. The simulation results suggested that the proposed method efficiently predicted actual direction of change within an evolving population with high probability.
|Original language||English (US)|
|Number of pages||4|
|Journal||Physical Review Letters|
|State||Published - Jan 7 2002|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Physics and Astronomy(all)