NOAA'S hurricane intensity forecasting experiment: A progress report

Robert Rogers, Sim Aberson, Altug Aksoy, Bachir Annane, Michael Black, Joseph Cione, Neal Dorst, Jason Dunion, John Gamache, Stan Goldenberg, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan, John Kaplan, Bradley Klotz, Sylvie Lorsolo, Frank Marks, Shirley Murillo, Mark Powell, Paul Reasor, Kathryn Sellwood, Eric UhlhornTomislava Vukicevic, Jun Zhang, Xuejin Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

90 Scopus citations

Abstract

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) started a multiyear experiment called the Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX). IFEX was conducted to improve the prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity. There were three primary goals proposed by IFEX to improve TC intensity predictions, such as collecting observations that spanned the TC life cycle in a variety of environments for model initialization and evaluation, developing and refining measurement strategies and technologies that provided improved real-time monitoring of TC intensity, structure, and environment; and improving the understanding of physical processes important in intensity change for a TC at all stages of its life cycle. NOAA worked jointly with weather forecasting agencies and organizations to fly IFEX aircraft missions every year from 2005 for accurate TC intensity predictions.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)859-882
Number of pages24
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume94
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2013

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

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