Multicenter retrospective development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for nosocomial invasive candidiasis in the intensive care setting

L. Ostrosky-Zeichner, C. Sable, J. Sobel, B. D. Alexander, G. Donowitz, V. Kan, C. A. Kauffman, D. Kett, R. A. Larsen, V. Morrison, M. Nucci, P. G. Pappas, M. E. Bradley, S. Major, L. Zimmer, D. Wallace, W. E. Dismukes, J. H. Rex

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

238 Scopus citations

Abstract

The study presented here was performed in order to create a rule that identifies subjects at high risk for invasive candidiasis in the intensive care setting. Retrospective review and statistical modelling were carried out on 2,890 patients who stayed at least 4 days in nine hospitals in the USA and Brazil; the overall incidence of invasive candidiasis in this group was 3% (88 cases). The best performing rule was as follows: Any systemic antibiotic (days 1-3) OR presence of a central venous catheter (days 1-3) AND at least TWO of the following-total parenteral nutrition (days 1-3), any dialysis (days 1-3), any major surgery (days -7-0), pancreatitis (days -7-0), any use of steroids (days -7-3), or use of other immunosuppressive agents (days -7-0). The rate of invasive candidiasis among patients meeting the rule was 9.9%, capturing 34% of cases in the units, with the following performance: relative risk 4.36, sensitivity 0.34, specificity 0.90, positive predictive value 0.01, and negative predictive value 0.97. The rule may identify patients at high risk of invasive candidiasis.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)271-276
Number of pages6
JournalEuropean Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases
Volume26
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 1 2007

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Microbiology (medical)
  • Infectious Diseases

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    Ostrosky-Zeichner, L., Sable, C., Sobel, J., Alexander, B. D., Donowitz, G., Kan, V., Kauffman, C. A., Kett, D., Larsen, R. A., Morrison, V., Nucci, M., Pappas, P. G., Bradley, M. E., Major, S., Zimmer, L., Wallace, D., Dismukes, W. E., & Rex, J. H. (2007). Multicenter retrospective development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for nosocomial invasive candidiasis in the intensive care setting. European Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, 26(4), 271-276. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10096-007-0270-z