Long term simulations of potential oil spills around Cuba

Lars Robert Hole, Victor de Aguiar, Knut Frode Dagestad, Vassiliki H. Kourafalou, Yannis Androulidakis, Heesook Kang, Matthieu Le Hénaff, Amilcar Calzada

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Simulations over eight years of continuous surface oil spills around Cuba are carried out to identify the most likely stranding (beaching) locations. The open source Lagrangian oil drift model OpenOil is applied with high resolution hydrodynamic forcing. The actual fraction of the released oil mass reaching different regions is calculated, revealing small differences between a light and a heavy crude oil type. Similar stranding rates for the two oil types are found. Another important conclusion is that, due to the high temporal variability in stranding rates, short term simulations of a few weeks are not suitable to assess environmental risk. The highest stranding rates are simulated in winter in Northern Cuba. It is also found that oil could reach Northern Cuba, Yucatan or Florida in about 3–5 days after a spill.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number112285
JournalMarine Pollution Bulletin
StatePublished - Jun 2021
Externally publishedYes


  • Cuba
  • Eddies
  • Oil spill
  • OpenDrift
  • Stranding

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oceanography
  • Aquatic Science
  • Pollution


Dive into the research topics of 'Long term simulations of potential oil spills around Cuba'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this