Abstract
Background - The increasing prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a public health issue. Identifying new predictors of AF is therefore necessary to plan preventive strategies. We investigated whether left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction by global longitudinal strain (GLS), a predictor of cardiovascular events, may predict new-onset AF in a population setting. Methods and Results - Participants (n=675; mean age, 71±9 years; 60% women) in sinus rhythm from the population-based Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) underwent 2- and 3-dimensional echocardiography as part of the Cardiac Abnormalities and Brain Lesions (CABL) study. LV systolic function was assessed by LV ejection fraction and speckle-tracking GLS. During a mean follow-up of 63.6±18.7 months, 32 (4.7%) new confirmed cases of AF occurred. Lower GLS (adjusted hazard ratio/unit decrease, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.43; P=0.015) and increased left atrial volume index (LAVi; adjusted hazard ratio/unit increase, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.17; P<0.001) were significantly associated with incident AF, whereas LV ejection fraction was not (P=0.176). Abnormal GLS (>-14.7%) was associated with risk of new-onset AF with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.4-7.5; P=0.007). The coexistence of abnormal GLS/abnormal LAVi was associated with a 28.6% incidence of AF (adjusted hazard ratio, 12.1; 95% confidence interval, 3.3-44.8; P<0.001) compared with participants with normal GLS/normal LAVi (AF incidence, 2.0%). AF incidence was intermediate in those with either abnormal GLS or abnormal LAVi (9.3% and 11.1%, respectively). GLS prognostic value for incident AF was incremental over risk factors and LAVi. Conclusions - LV systolic dysfunction by GLS was a powerful and independent predictor of incident AF. GLS assessment may improve AF risk stratification in addition to established parameters.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Journal | Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging |
| Volume | 8 |
| Issue number | 8 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Aug 1 2015 |
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Keywords
- atrial fibrillation
- echocardiography
- systole
- ventricular dysfunction, left
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
- Radiology Nuclear Medicine and imaging
Cite this
Left ventricular systolic dysfunction by longitudinal strain is an independent predictor of incident atrial fibrillation : A community-based cohort study. / Russo, Cesare; Jin, Zhezhen; Sera, Fusako; Lee, Edward S.; Homma, Shunichi; Rundek, Tatjana; Elkind, Mitchell S V; Sacco, Ralph L; Di Tullio, Marco R.
In: Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging, Vol. 8, No. 8, 01.08.2015.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Left ventricular systolic dysfunction by longitudinal strain is an independent predictor of incident atrial fibrillation
T2 - A community-based cohort study
AU - Russo, Cesare
AU - Jin, Zhezhen
AU - Sera, Fusako
AU - Lee, Edward S.
AU - Homma, Shunichi
AU - Rundek, Tatjana
AU - Elkind, Mitchell S V
AU - Sacco, Ralph L
AU - Di Tullio, Marco R.
PY - 2015/8/1
Y1 - 2015/8/1
N2 - Background - The increasing prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a public health issue. Identifying new predictors of AF is therefore necessary to plan preventive strategies. We investigated whether left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction by global longitudinal strain (GLS), a predictor of cardiovascular events, may predict new-onset AF in a population setting. Methods and Results - Participants (n=675; mean age, 71±9 years; 60% women) in sinus rhythm from the population-based Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) underwent 2- and 3-dimensional echocardiography as part of the Cardiac Abnormalities and Brain Lesions (CABL) study. LV systolic function was assessed by LV ejection fraction and speckle-tracking GLS. During a mean follow-up of 63.6±18.7 months, 32 (4.7%) new confirmed cases of AF occurred. Lower GLS (adjusted hazard ratio/unit decrease, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.43; P=0.015) and increased left atrial volume index (LAVi; adjusted hazard ratio/unit increase, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.17; P<0.001) were significantly associated with incident AF, whereas LV ejection fraction was not (P=0.176). Abnormal GLS (>-14.7%) was associated with risk of new-onset AF with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.4-7.5; P=0.007). The coexistence of abnormal GLS/abnormal LAVi was associated with a 28.6% incidence of AF (adjusted hazard ratio, 12.1; 95% confidence interval, 3.3-44.8; P<0.001) compared with participants with normal GLS/normal LAVi (AF incidence, 2.0%). AF incidence was intermediate in those with either abnormal GLS or abnormal LAVi (9.3% and 11.1%, respectively). GLS prognostic value for incident AF was incremental over risk factors and LAVi. Conclusions - LV systolic dysfunction by GLS was a powerful and independent predictor of incident AF. GLS assessment may improve AF risk stratification in addition to established parameters.
AB - Background - The increasing prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a public health issue. Identifying new predictors of AF is therefore necessary to plan preventive strategies. We investigated whether left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction by global longitudinal strain (GLS), a predictor of cardiovascular events, may predict new-onset AF in a population setting. Methods and Results - Participants (n=675; mean age, 71±9 years; 60% women) in sinus rhythm from the population-based Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) underwent 2- and 3-dimensional echocardiography as part of the Cardiac Abnormalities and Brain Lesions (CABL) study. LV systolic function was assessed by LV ejection fraction and speckle-tracking GLS. During a mean follow-up of 63.6±18.7 months, 32 (4.7%) new confirmed cases of AF occurred. Lower GLS (adjusted hazard ratio/unit decrease, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.43; P=0.015) and increased left atrial volume index (LAVi; adjusted hazard ratio/unit increase, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.17; P<0.001) were significantly associated with incident AF, whereas LV ejection fraction was not (P=0.176). Abnormal GLS (>-14.7%) was associated with risk of new-onset AF with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.4-7.5; P=0.007). The coexistence of abnormal GLS/abnormal LAVi was associated with a 28.6% incidence of AF (adjusted hazard ratio, 12.1; 95% confidence interval, 3.3-44.8; P<0.001) compared with participants with normal GLS/normal LAVi (AF incidence, 2.0%). AF incidence was intermediate in those with either abnormal GLS or abnormal LAVi (9.3% and 11.1%, respectively). GLS prognostic value for incident AF was incremental over risk factors and LAVi. Conclusions - LV systolic dysfunction by GLS was a powerful and independent predictor of incident AF. GLS assessment may improve AF risk stratification in addition to established parameters.
KW - atrial fibrillation
KW - echocardiography
KW - systole
KW - ventricular dysfunction, left
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84940535557&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84940535557&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.115.003520
DO - 10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.115.003520
M3 - Article
C2 - 26253626
AN - SCOPUS:84940535557
VL - 8
JO - Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging
JF - Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging
SN - 1941-9651
IS - 8
ER -