Impact of ocean model resolution on understanding the delayed warming of the Southern Ocean

Simge I. Bilgen, Ben P. Kirtman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Currently available historical climate change simulations indicate a relatively delayed Southern Ocean warming, particularly poleward of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) compared much of the rest of the globe. However, even this simulated delayed warming is inconsistent with observational estimates which show a cooling trend poleward of the ACC for the period 1979–2014. A fully coupled model run at two resolutions, i.e. ocean eddy parameterized and ocean eddy resolving, driven by historical and fixed CO2 concentration is used to investigate forced trends south of the ACC. We analyze the 1961–2005 Southern Ocean surface and upper ocean temperatures trends simulated by the model and observational estimates to understand the observed trends in the SO. At both resolutions, the models successfully reproduce the observed warming response for the northern flank of the ACC. The eddy resolving simulations, however, are able to reproduce the observed near Antarctic cooling in contrast to the eddy parameterized simulation which shows a warming trend. The cause of this inconsistency between the observations and the ocean eddy parameterized climate models is still a matter of debate, and we show here results that suggest resolved ocean meso-scale processes may be an integral part of capturing the observed trends in the Southern Ocean.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number114012
JournalEnvironmental Research Letters
Volume15
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Delayed warming
  • Eddy resolving and eddy parameterized models
  • Greenhouse gas forcing
  • Southern Ocean SST trends
  • Southern Ocean climate

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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