In this paper we discuss what climate variability and ENSO are and why they are important for Florida's agriculture. We also discuss which regions, commodities, and production technologies are most vulnerable. We then make the case for climate forecasting as an emerging technical improvement that enables producers to avoid some of the potential damages associated with climatic variability and also to take advantage of some profitable opportunities. As is true of other technical improvements for agriculture, there is no guarantee that researchers will provide the climate forecast products farmers want most nor that farmers will understand how best to use climate forecasts. Nor will climate forecasts necessarily improve economic performance immediately, but only in the longer term. A successful forecasting process will require not only that researchers produce accurate forecasts and that farmers incorporate them into their decisions, but also that the forecast producers and users communicate with one another.
|Original language||English (US)|
|Number of pages||20|
|State||Published - Jan 1 2001|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Earth-Surface Processes