Dynamics of a time-periodic two-strain SIS epidemic model with diffusion and latent period

Lin Zhao, Zhi Cheng Wang, Shigui Ruan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Coinfection of hosts with multiple strains or serotypes of the same agent, such as different influenza virus strains, different human papilloma virus strains, and different dengue virus serotypes, is not only a very serious public health issue but also a very challenging mathematical modeling problem. In this paper, we study a time-periodic two-strain SIS epidemic model with diffusion and latent period. We first define the basic reproduction number R0 i and introduce the invasion number Rˆ0 i for each strain i(i=1,2), which can determine the ability of each strain to invade the other single-strain. The main question that we investigate is the threshold dynamics of the model. It is shown that if R0 i⩽1(i=1,2), then the disease-free periodic solution is globally attractive; if R0 i>1⩾R0 j(i≠j,i,j=1,2), then competitive exclusion, where the jth strain dies out and the ith strain persists, is a possible outcome; and if Rˆ0 i>1(i=1,2), then the disease persists uniformly. Finally we present the basic framework of threshold dynamics of the system by using numerical simulations, some of which are different from that of the corresponding multi-strain SIS ODE models.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number102966
JournalNonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications
Volume51
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 1 2020

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SIS Model
Epidemic Model
Viruses
Virus
Epidemic model
Competitive Exclusion
Basic Reproduction number
Influenza
Invasion
Public Health
Public health
Mathematical Modeling
Periodic Solution
Die

Keywords

  • Basic reproduction number
  • Competitive exclusion
  • SIS epidemic model
  • Threshold dynamics
  • Time periodicity
  • Two strains

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Analysis
  • Engineering(all)
  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
  • Computational Mathematics
  • Applied Mathematics

Cite this

Dynamics of a time-periodic two-strain SIS epidemic model with diffusion and latent period. / Zhao, Lin; Wang, Zhi Cheng; Ruan, Shigui.

In: Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, Vol. 51, 102966, 01.02.2020.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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