Demography in an increasingly variable world

Mark S. Boyce, Chirakkal V. Haridas, Charlotte T. Lee, Carol L. Boggs, Emilio M. Bruna, Tim Coulson, Daniel Doak, John M. Drake, Jean Michel Gaillard, Carol C. Horvitz, Susan Kalisz, Bruce E. Kendall, Tiffany Knight, Michael Mastrandrea, Eric S. Menges, William F. Morris, Catherine A. Pfister, Shripad D. Tuljapurkar

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

263 Scopus citations

Abstract

Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)141-148
Number of pages8
JournalTrends in Ecology and Evolution
Volume21
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2006
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

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    Boyce, M. S., Haridas, C. V., Lee, C. T., Boggs, C. L., Bruna, E. M., Coulson, T., Doak, D., Drake, J. M., Gaillard, J. M., Horvitz, C. C., Kalisz, S., Kendall, B. E., Knight, T., Mastrandrea, M., Menges, E. S., Morris, W. F., Pfister, C. A., & Tuljapurkar, S. D. (2006). Demography in an increasingly variable world. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 21(3), 141-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018