Demography in an increasingly variable world

Mark S. Boyce, Chirakkal V. Haridas, Charlotte T. Lee, Carol L. Boggs, Emilio M. Bruna, Tim Coulson, Daniel Doak, John M. Drake, Jean Michel Gaillard, Carol C Horvitz, Susan Kalisz, Bruce E. Kendall, Tiffany Knight, Michael Mastrandrea, Eric S. Menges, William F. Morris, Catherine A. Pfister, Shripad D. Tuljapurkar

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

254 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)141-148
Number of pages8
JournalTrends in Ecology and Evolution
Volume21
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2006
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

demography
anthropogenic activities
community composition
population growth
population dynamics
human activity
demographic statistics
persistence
species diversity
world
distribution
rate
effect

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

Cite this

Boyce, M. S., Haridas, C. V., Lee, C. T., Boggs, C. L., Bruna, E. M., Coulson, T., ... Tuljapurkar, S. D. (2006). Demography in an increasingly variable world. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 21(3), 141-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018

Demography in an increasingly variable world. / Boyce, Mark S.; Haridas, Chirakkal V.; Lee, Charlotte T.; Boggs, Carol L.; Bruna, Emilio M.; Coulson, Tim; Doak, Daniel; Drake, John M.; Gaillard, Jean Michel; Horvitz, Carol C; Kalisz, Susan; Kendall, Bruce E.; Knight, Tiffany; Mastrandrea, Michael; Menges, Eric S.; Morris, William F.; Pfister, Catherine A.; Tuljapurkar, Shripad D.

In: Trends in Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 21, No. 3, 01.03.2006, p. 141-148.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Boyce, MS, Haridas, CV, Lee, CT, Boggs, CL, Bruna, EM, Coulson, T, Doak, D, Drake, JM, Gaillard, JM, Horvitz, CC, Kalisz, S, Kendall, BE, Knight, T, Mastrandrea, M, Menges, ES, Morris, WF, Pfister, CA & Tuljapurkar, SD 2006, 'Demography in an increasingly variable world', Trends in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 141-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018
Boyce MS, Haridas CV, Lee CT, Boggs CL, Bruna EM, Coulson T et al. Demography in an increasingly variable world. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 2006 Mar 1;21(3):141-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018
Boyce, Mark S. ; Haridas, Chirakkal V. ; Lee, Charlotte T. ; Boggs, Carol L. ; Bruna, Emilio M. ; Coulson, Tim ; Doak, Daniel ; Drake, John M. ; Gaillard, Jean Michel ; Horvitz, Carol C ; Kalisz, Susan ; Kendall, Bruce E. ; Knight, Tiffany ; Mastrandrea, Michael ; Menges, Eric S. ; Morris, William F. ; Pfister, Catherine A. ; Tuljapurkar, Shripad D. / Demography in an increasingly variable world. In: Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 2006 ; Vol. 21, No. 3. pp. 141-148.
@article{fcdd5dea77db4fbb9dfa3e1a78c213b0,
title = "Demography in an increasingly variable world",
abstract = "Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.",
author = "Boyce, {Mark S.} and Haridas, {Chirakkal V.} and Lee, {Charlotte T.} and Boggs, {Carol L.} and Bruna, {Emilio M.} and Tim Coulson and Daniel Doak and Drake, {John M.} and Gaillard, {Jean Michel} and Horvitz, {Carol C} and Susan Kalisz and Kendall, {Bruce E.} and Tiffany Knight and Michael Mastrandrea and Menges, {Eric S.} and Morris, {William F.} and Pfister, {Catherine A.} and Tuljapurkar, {Shripad D.}",
year = "2006",
month = "3",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018",
language = "English",
volume = "21",
pages = "141--148",
journal = "Trends in Ecology and Evolution",
issn = "0169-5347",
publisher = "Elsevier Limited",
number = "3",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Demography in an increasingly variable world

AU - Boyce, Mark S.

AU - Haridas, Chirakkal V.

AU - Lee, Charlotte T.

AU - Boggs, Carol L.

AU - Bruna, Emilio M.

AU - Coulson, Tim

AU - Doak, Daniel

AU - Drake, John M.

AU - Gaillard, Jean Michel

AU - Horvitz, Carol C

AU - Kalisz, Susan

AU - Kendall, Bruce E.

AU - Knight, Tiffany

AU - Mastrandrea, Michael

AU - Menges, Eric S.

AU - Morris, William F.

AU - Pfister, Catherine A.

AU - Tuljapurkar, Shripad D.

PY - 2006/3/1

Y1 - 2006/3/1

N2 - Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.

AB - Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33644643296&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=33644643296&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018

DO - 10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018

M3 - Article

VL - 21

SP - 141

EP - 148

JO - Trends in Ecology and Evolution

JF - Trends in Ecology and Evolution

SN - 0169-5347

IS - 3

ER -