TY - JOUR
T1 - Demography in an increasingly variable world
AU - Boyce, Mark S.
AU - Haridas, Chirakkal V.
AU - Lee, Charlotte T.
AU - Boggs, Carol L.
AU - Bruna, Emilio M.
AU - Coulson, Tim
AU - Doak, Daniel
AU - Drake, John M.
AU - Gaillard, Jean Michel
AU - Horvitz, Carol C.
AU - Kalisz, Susan
AU - Kendall, Bruce E.
AU - Knight, Tiffany
AU - Mastrandrea, Michael
AU - Menges, Eric S.
AU - Morris, William F.
AU - Pfister, Catherine A.
AU - Tuljapurkar, Shripad D.
PY - 2006/3/1
Y1 - 2006/3/1
N2 - Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.
AB - Recent advances in stochastic demography provide unique insights into the probable effects of increasing environmental variability on population dynamics, and these insights can be substantially different compared with those from deterministic models. Stochastic variation in structured population models influences estimates of population growth rate, persistence and resilience, which ultimately can alter community composition, species interactions, distributions and harvesting. Here, we discuss how understanding these demographic consequences of environmental variation will have applications for anticipating changes in populations resulting from anthropogenic activities that affect the variance in vital rates. We also highlight new tools for anticipating the consequences of the magnitude and temporal patterning of environmental variability.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33644643296&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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U2 - 10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018
DO - 10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018
M3 - Review article
C2 - 16701490
AN - SCOPUS:33644643296
VL - 21
SP - 141
EP - 148
JO - Trends in Ecology and Evolution
JF - Trends in Ecology and Evolution
SN - 0169-5347
IS - 3
ER -