Atypical viral dynamics from transport through popular places

Pedro D. Manrique, Chen Xu, Pak Ming Hui, Neil F Johnson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

The flux of visitors through popular places undoubtedly influences viral spreading - from H1N1 and Zika viruses spreading through physical spaces such as airports, to rumors and ideas spreading through online spaces such as chat rooms and social media. However, there is a lack of understanding of the types of viral dynamics that can result. Here we present a minimal dynamical model that focuses on the time-dependent interplay between the mobility through and the occupancy of such spaces. Our generic model permits analytic analysis while producing a rich diversity of infection profiles in terms of their shapes, durations, and intensities. The general features of these theoretical profiles compare well to real-world data of recent social contagion phenomena.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number022304
JournalPhysical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
Volume94
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 12 2016

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ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Condensed Matter Physics

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