An assessment of methods for computing radiative forcing in climate models

Eui Seok Chung, Brian J. Soden

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

16 Scopus citations

Abstract

Because the radiative forcing is rarely computed separately when performing climate model simulations, several alternative methods have been developed to estimate both the instantaneous (or direct) forcing and the adjusted forcing. The adjusted forcing accounts for the radiative impact arising from the adjustment of climate variables to the instantaneous forcing, independent of any surface warming. Using climate model experiments performed for CMIP5, we find the adjusted forcing for 4 xCO2 ranges from roughly 5.5-9 W m-2 in current models. This range is shown to be consistent between different methods of estimating the adjusted forcing. Decomposition using radiative kernels and offline double-call radiative transfer calculations indicates that the spread receives a substantial contribution (roughly 50%) from intermodel differences in the instantaneous component of the radiative forcing. Moreover, nearly all of the spread in adjusted forcing can be accounted for by differences in the instantaneous forcing and stratospheric adjustment, implying that tropospheric adjustments to CO2 play only a secondary role. This suggests that differences in modeling radiative transfer are responsible for substantial differences in the projected climate response and underscores the need to archive double-call radiative transfer calculations of the instantaneous forcing as a routine diagnostic.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number074004
JournalEnvironmental Research Letters
Volume10
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 1 2015

    Fingerprint

Keywords

  • climate models
  • model spread
  • radiative forcing
  • radiative kernel method
  • radiative transfer
  • rapid adjustment

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

Cite this