A unified modeling approach to climate system prediction

James Hurrell, Gerald A. Meehl, David Bader, Thomas L. Delworth, Ben Kirtman, Bruce Wielicki

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

118 Scopus citations

Abstract

Some of the challenges involved in developing a unified modeling framework that provides for the hierarchical treatment of forecast and climate phenomena are discussed. The latest weather forecasting is carried out using atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) that have been traditionally forced with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies observed at initial stages, creating significant challenges. The radiative forcings and coupled interactions and feedbacks among the climate system components are critical for decadal-to-centennial predictions. These coupled model integrations are initialized from an arbitrary and relatively stable climate state obtained from a several-century control integration. These atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) include components of the atmosphere, ocean, land surface, and sea ice.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1819-1832
Number of pages14
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume90
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2009

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

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