A rapid preadmission method for predicting inpatient course of disease for patients with HIV-related Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia

Charles L. Bennett, Robert A. Weinstein, Martin F. Shapiro, Harold A. Kessler, Gordon M. Dickinson, Bercedis Peterson, Susan E. Cohn, W. Lance George, Stuart C. Gilman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

39 Scopus citations

Abstract

Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) has been the most common reason for hospitalization and the most common cause of death for persons with HIV infection. Hospital mortality rates for PCP range from 10 to 60%. Studies that evaluate differences in hospital mortality rates must control for differences in patient severity of illness. We developed a simple staging system for categorizing severity of illness in patients with PCP. We analyzed the relation between clinical factors and in-hospital mortality for 576 hospitalized patients with HIV-related PCP treated at 56 hospitals for the years 1987 to 1990. Four stages of PCP could be identified based on three routinely measured clinical variables: alveolar-arterial oxygen difference, total lymphocyte count, and body mass index. The mortality rate increased by stage: 1% for Stage 1, 8% for Stage 2, 23% for Stage 3, and 48% for Stage 4. The four-stage severity system compared well with previous models developed for AIDS and for PCP, and is easier to use in clinical practice. Our staging system identifies patients with a high and low risk of in-hospital death upon admission. Physicians may benefit from consideration of PCP stage in deciding on management strategies. In addition, researchers involved in clinical trials of new agents for PCP might consider stratification by PCP stage in order to define homogenous groups.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1503-1507
Number of pages5
JournalAmerican journal of respiratory and critical care medicine
Volume150
Issue number6 I
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1994
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine
  • Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine

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