A neural network-based approach for predicting organ donation potential

Benjamin R. Schleich, Sarah S. Lam, Sang Won Yoon, Waheed Tajik, Michael J. Goldstein, Helen Irving

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Abstract

This research proposes a potential organ donor prediction model using an artificial neural network-based approach to forecast the amount of daily incoming organ referrals and their medical suitability. The daily amount of incoming organ referrals and their medical suitability indicate organ donation potential. Predicting organ donation potential is vital for organ procurement organizations (OPOs) to improve staffing and scheduling practices. As a result, the objective of this study is to develop an accurate organ donation potential prediction model that can help the OPOs in achieving their mission to save lives. Several supervised artificial neural networks were designed, tested and compared with each other to identify best prediction accuracy. The experimental results and analyses indicate that the prediction accuracy for organ donation potential depends not only on the network type, but also on the architecture selection and the choice of inputs and time frame. The constructed neural network model shows good organ potential prediction accuracy with a R-squared value of 0.73. Hence, implementing such a model can support organ procurement organizations in their mission to save lives.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages1532-1541
Number of pages10
StatePublished - Jan 1 2013
EventIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2013 - San Juan, Puerto Rico
Duration: May 18 2013May 22 2013

Other

OtherIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2013
CountryPuerto Rico
CitySan Juan
Period5/18/135/22/13

Keywords

  • Artificial neural networks
  • Organ donation
  • Organ referral prediction
  • Time series forecasting

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering

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  • Cite this

    Schleich, B. R., Lam, S. S., Yoon, S. W., Tajik, W., Goldstein, M. J., & Irving, H. (2013). A neural network-based approach for predicting organ donation potential. 1532-1541. Paper presented at IIE Annual Conference and Expo 2013, San Juan, Puerto Rico.